amateur forecast

简明释义

业余预报;

英英释义

例句

1.She posted her amateur forecast 业余天气预报 on social media, predicting rain for the weekend.

她在社交媒体上发布了她的业余天气预报，预测周末会下雨。

2.During our camping trip, we relied on an amateur forecast 业余天气预报 made by a friend who enjoys meteorology.

在我们的露营旅行中，我们依赖于一位热爱气象学的朋友做的业余天气预报。

3.The local news station often features an amateur forecast 业余天气预报 from community members.

当地新闻台经常展示来自社区成员的业余天气预报。

4.The amateur forecast 业余天气预报 provided by the student was surprisingly accurate.

这位学生提供的业余天气预报出奇地准确。

5.Many people trust an amateur forecast 业余天气预报 over official sources because it feels more personal.

许多人更信任业余天气预报而不是官方来源，因为它感觉更加个性化。

作文

In today's world, we are constantly bombarded with information from various sources, especially regarding weather predictions. While professional meteorologists use advanced technology and extensive training to create accurate forecasts, there is also a growing trend of individuals making their own predictions based on personal observations and experiences. This phenomenon can be referred to as an amateur forecast. An amateur forecast (业余天气预报) is essentially a weather prediction made by someone who does not have formal training or expertise in meteorology.One might wonder why people engage in making amateur forecasts. For many, it stems from a genuine interest in the weather and a desire to understand the natural world better. They observe patterns in their local climate, such as how certain cloud formations can indicate impending rain or how temperature changes can signal a shift in weather conditions. This hands-on approach allows them to connect with their environment in a way that is both personal and engaging.Moreover, the internet has played a significant role in popularizing amateur forecasts. Social media platforms and online forums provide spaces where enthusiasts can share their predictions, discuss weather phenomena, and even challenge each other’s forecasts. This community aspect fosters a sense of belonging and encourages individuals to refine their skills in making predictions. However, it is essential to note that while these forecasts can be fun and sometimes surprisingly accurate, they lack the rigor and reliability of professional forecasts.The rise of amateur forecasts can also be attributed to the accessibility of weather data. With just a smartphone, anyone can access real-time weather information, radar images, and historical data. This wealth of information empowers individuals to make informed guesses about upcoming weather events. For instance, a person might notice a drop in temperature and increased humidity and predict a storm based on their observations combined with available data.However, there are risks associated with relying on amateur forecasts. In critical situations, such as severe weather events, trusting an untrained individual’s prediction over a professional one can lead to dangerous consequences. For example, during a hurricane, an amateur forecast suggesting that the storm will change course could result in people ignoring evacuation orders. Therefore, it is crucial for individuals to discern between professional advice and amateur predictions, especially when safety is at stake.In conclusion, the concept of amateur forecasts represents a fascinating intersection between personal engagement with nature and the technological advancements of our time. While these forecasts can enhance our understanding of weather patterns and foster community among enthusiasts, it is vital to approach them with caution and respect for the expertise of trained meteorologists. Ultimately, the best approach to weather predictions may lie in a combination of both professional insights and amateur observations, allowing us to appreciate the complexity of our atmosphere while staying safe and informed.

在当今世界，我们不断被来自各种来源的信息轰炸，特别是关于天气预测的信息。尽管专业气象学家使用先进的技术和广泛的培训来创建准确的天气预报，但个人根据个人观察和经验进行自己的预测的趋势也在不断增长。这种现象可以称为业余天气预报。业余天气预报（amateur forecast）本质上是由没有正式培训或气象学专业知识的人做出的天气预测。人们可能会想知道为什么会有人参与制作业余天气预报。对于许多人来说，这源于对天气的真正兴趣以及更好地理解自然世界的愿望。他们观察当地气候中的模式，例如某些云层形成如何表明即将降雨，或温度变化如何暗示天气条件的变化。这种实践方法使他们能够以一种既个人又引人入胜的方式与环境建立联系。此外，互联网在普及业余天气预报方面发挥了重要作用。社交媒体平台和在线论坛提供了让爱好者分享他们的预测、讨论天气现象甚至挑战彼此预测的空间。这种社区性质培养了一种归属感，并鼓励个人在预测技能上不断完善。然而，值得注意的是，虽然这些预测可能有趣且有时出奇准确，但它们缺乏专业预测的严谨性和可靠性。业余天气预报的兴起也可归因于天气数据的可获取性。仅凭一部智能手机，任何人都可以访问实时天气信息、雷达图像和历史数据。这些丰富的信息使个人能够对即将发生的天气事件做出明智的猜测。例如，一个人可能注意到气温下降和湿度增加，并根据他们的观察结合可用数据预测暴风雨。然而，依赖业余天气预报存在风险。在关键情况下，例如严重天气事件中，相信一个未经训练的个人的预测而不是专业的预测可能导致危险的后果。例如，在飓风期间，一个业余天气预报建议风暴将改变方向，可能导致人们忽视撤离命令。因此，个人在面对安全问题时，必须区分专业建议和业余预测。总之，业余天气预报的概念代表了个人与自然的参与与我们时代科技进步之间的迷人交集。虽然这些预测可以增强我们对天气模式的理解并促进爱好者之间的社区，但在处理它们时谨慎行事并尊重受过训练的气象学家的专业知识至关重要。最终，对天气预测的最佳方法可能在于结合专业见解和业余观察，使我们能够在欣赏大气复杂性的同时保持安全和知情。