leading indicators

简明释义

领先指标

英英释义

例句

1.New housing starts are considered leading indicators 领先指标 of economic activity.

新建住房开工被视为经济活动的领先指标 领先指标 。

2.The stock market often reacts to economic data, with employment rates being one of the most important leading indicators 领先指标 of growth.

股市通常会对经济数据做出反应，失业率是经济增长最重要的领先指标 领先指标 之一。

3.Business investment is one of the key leading indicators 领先指标 for assessing future economic growth.

商业投资是评估未来经济增长的关键领先指标 领先指标 之一。

4.Changes in manufacturing orders can serve as leading indicators 领先指标 of economic expansion or contraction.

制造订单的变化可以作为经济扩张或收缩的领先指标 领先指标 。

5.Analysts look at consumer confidence as a leading indicator 领先指标 to predict spending trends.

分析师将消费者信心视为预测消费趋势的领先指标 领先指标 。

作文

In the world of economics and business, understanding the concept of leading indicators is crucial for making informed decisions. Leading indicators are metrics that can predict future economic activity. They provide insights into where the economy is headed, allowing businesses and policymakers to adjust their strategies accordingly. For instance, if a company notices an increase in consumer confidence or a rise in new housing starts, these leading indicators suggest that economic growth may be on the horizon. The importance of leading indicators cannot be overstated. They serve as early signals that can help organizations prepare for changes in the market. By monitoring these indicators, businesses can identify trends and adapt to them before they become apparent in lagging indicators, which reflect past performance. For example, while unemployment rates are a lagging indicator, a decrease in jobless claims is a leading indicator that suggests employment levels may soon improve.Investors also rely heavily on leading indicators to guide their investment decisions. Stock markets often react to these indicators, as they can influence investor sentiment. When leading indicators point towards economic expansion, investors may be more inclined to buy stocks, anticipating better corporate earnings down the line. Conversely, if the indicators suggest a slowdown, investors might sell off their assets to mitigate potential losses.Moreover, various types of leading indicators exist across different sectors. In manufacturing, for instance, new orders for durable goods can signal increased production activity. In the services sector, rising consumer spending can be a strong leading indicator of economic health. Similarly, in the housing market, an uptick in building permits can indicate future construction activity, providing valuable information for stakeholders involved in real estate.Governments and central banks also pay close attention to leading indicators. Policymakers use these metrics to gauge the effectiveness of their economic policies and make necessary adjustments. For example, if a central bank observes a decline in leading indicators, it may choose to lower interest rates to stimulate economic growth. This proactive approach can help mitigate the effects of a potential recession before it fully materializes.However, it is essential to recognize that while leading indicators are valuable tools, they are not infallible. Economic conditions can be influenced by a myriad of unpredictable factors, such as geopolitical events, natural disasters, or sudden shifts in consumer behavior. Therefore, it is crucial for analysts and decision-makers to consider leading indicators alongside other economic data and qualitative assessments.In conclusion, leading indicators play a pivotal role in economic forecasting and decision-making. They offer a glimpse into future trends, enabling businesses, investors, and policymakers to act proactively rather than reactively. By understanding and utilizing leading indicators, stakeholders can navigate the complexities of the economy with greater confidence and foresight. As we continue to analyze the ever-evolving economic landscape, the significance of leading indicators will remain a fundamental aspect of strategic planning and risk management.

在经济和商业的世界中，理解“领先指标”这一概念对于做出明智的决策至关重要。“领先指标”是可以预测未来经济活动的指标。它们提供了有关经济走向的见解，使企业和政策制定者能够相应地调整他们的策略。例如，如果一家公司注意到消费者信心的提高或新房开工量的增加，这些“领先指标”表明经济增长可能即将到来。“领先指标”的重要性不容小觑。它们作为早期信号，可以帮助组织为市场变化做好准备。通过监测这些指标，企业可以识别趋势并在这些趋势在滞后指标中变得明显之前进行调整。例如，尽管失业率是滞后指标，但失业申请的减少是一个“领先指标”，表明就业水平可能很快改善。投资者也非常依赖“领先指标”来指导他们的投资决策。股市通常会对这些指标做出反应，因为它们可以影响投资者情绪。当“领先指标”指向经济扩张时，投资者可能更倾向于购买股票，预计未来企业收益会更好。相反，如果指标表明经济放缓，投资者可能会抛售资产以减轻潜在损失。此外，不同领域存在各种类型的“领先指标”。例如，在制造业中，耐用商品的新订单可以预示生产活动的增加。在服务业中，消费支出的上升可以成为经济健康的强“领先指标”。类似地，在房地产市场中，建筑许可证的增加可以表明未来的建设活动，为参与房地产的利益相关者提供有价值的信息。政府和中央银行也密切关注“领先指标”。政策制定者利用这些指标来评估其经济政策的有效性，并做出必要的调整。例如，如果中央银行观察到“领先指标”的下降，它可能会选择降低利率以刺激经济增长。这种前瞻性的方法可以帮助减轻潜在衰退的影响，防止其完全显现。然而，必须认识到，尽管“领先指标”是有价值的工具，但它们并非万无一失。经济条件可能受到多种不可预测因素的影响，例如地缘政治事件、自然灾害或消费者行为的突然变化。因此，分析师和决策者必须将“领先指标”与其他经济数据和定性评估结合考虑。总之，“领先指标”在经济预测和决策中发挥着关键作用。它们提供了对未来趋势的洞察，使企业、投资者和政策制定者能够采取积极主动的行动，而不是被动反应。通过理解和利用“领先指标”，利益相关者可以更自信、更具前瞻性地驾驭复杂的经济环境。随着我们继续分析不断变化的经济格局，“领先指标”的重要性将始终是战略规划和风险管理的基本方面。