moving average adjustment

简明释义

移动平均调整

英英释义

A moving average adjustment refers to the process of modifying data points in a time series by calculating the average of a specific number of preceding values, which helps to smooth out short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends.

移动平均调整是指通过计算特定数量的前值的平均值来修改时间序列中的数据点,这有助于平滑短期波动并突出长期趋势。

例句

1.By using a moving average adjustment, we can better identify trends over time.

通过使用移动平均调整,我们可以更好地识别时间趋势。

2.The moving average adjustment helped in reducing noise in the dataset, making it easier to analyze.

移动平均调整有助于减少数据集中的噪声,使分析更容易。

3.Our team decided to implement a moving average adjustment for the sales data to eliminate seasonal effects.

我们的团队决定对销售数据实施移动平均调整以消除季节性影响。

4.The stock market report included a moving average adjustment to enhance the accuracy of predictions.

股票市场报告中包含了移动平均调整以提高预测的准确性。

5.The analyst applied a moving average adjustment to smooth out the fluctuations in the data.

分析师应用了移动平均调整以平滑数据中的波动。

作文

In today's fast-paced financial world, investors and analysts often rely on various statistical tools to make informed decisions. One such tool is the concept of a moving average adjustment, which plays a crucial role in smoothing out data fluctuations and identifying trends over time. The moving average adjustment is particularly significant when analyzing stock prices, economic indicators, or any time-series data that can exhibit volatility.To understand the moving average adjustment, we first need to grasp what a moving average is. A moving average is a calculation used to analyze data points by creating averages of different subsets of the full dataset. This method helps to filter out the noise from random short-term fluctuations, allowing for a clearer view of the underlying trend. For example, if we look at the daily closing prices of a stock, a simple moving average might take the closing prices of the last ten days, sum them up, and then divide by ten to get the average price over that period.However, merely calculating a moving average may not be sufficient for making sound investment decisions. This is where the moving average adjustment comes into play. The adjustment refers to the modifications made to the basic moving average formula to account for various factors such as seasonality, economic cycles, or sudden market shifts. By implementing these adjustments, analysts can refine their predictions and better assess future market movements.For instance, consider a retail company that experiences seasonal sales spikes during the holiday season. If we were to calculate a moving average without adjusting for this seasonality, we might misinterpret the overall health of the business. By applying a moving average adjustment that accounts for these seasonal variations, we can gain a more accurate understanding of the company's performance throughout the year.The moving average adjustment can also be beneficial in other contexts, such as economic forecasting. Economists often utilize adjusted moving averages to predict GDP growth, unemployment rates, and inflation trends. By smoothing out irregularities in the data, they can provide policymakers with clearer insights, enabling them to make better-informed decisions that impact the economy.Moreover, the application of a moving average adjustment is not limited to finance and economics. It can also be found in fields like meteorology, where scientists analyze temperature changes over time. By adjusting moving averages based on historical weather patterns, meteorologists can forecast future climate conditions more accurately.In conclusion, the moving average adjustment is an essential tool for anyone dealing with time-series data. Whether in finance, economics, or other scientific fields, this adjustment allows for a more nuanced analysis of trends and patterns. By understanding and applying the moving average adjustment, analysts and decision-makers can enhance their ability to interpret data, ultimately leading to more effective strategies and outcomes. As we continue to navigate an increasingly complex world, the importance of such analytical tools will only grow, underscoring the value of mastering concepts like the moving average adjustment in our quest for knowledge and insight.

在当今快速发展的金融世界中,投资者和分析师常常依赖各种统计工具来做出明智的决策。其中一个工具是移动平均调整的概念,它在平滑数据波动和识别趋势方面发挥着至关重要的作用。移动平均调整在分析股票价格、经济指标或任何可能表现出波动性的时间序列数据时尤其重要。要理解移动平均调整,我们首先需要掌握什么是移动平均。移动平均是一种通过创建完整数据集的不同子集的平均值来分析数据点的计算方法。这种方法有助于过滤掉随机短期波动的噪音,从而更清晰地看到潜在趋势。例如,如果我们查看某只股票的每日收盘价,简单移动平均可能会取过去十天的收盘价,将它们相加,然后除以十,以获得该期间的平均价格。然而,仅仅计算移动平均可能不足以做出合理的投资决策。这就是移动平均调整发挥作用的地方。调整是指对基本移动平均公式进行的修改,以考虑季节性、经济周期或突发市场变化等各种因素。通过实施这些调整,分析师可以精炼他们的预测,更好地评估未来市场走势。例如,考虑一家在假日季节销售激增的零售公司。如果我们在没有调整季节性的情况下计算移动平均,我们可能会误解企业的整体健康状况。通过应用考虑到这些季节性变化的移动平均调整,我们可以更准确地了解公司在全年内的表现。移动平均调整在其他背景下也很有用,例如经济预测。经济学家经常利用调整后的移动平均来预测GDP增长、失业率和通货膨胀趋势。通过平滑数据中的不规则性,他们可以为政策制定者提供更清晰的见解,使他们能够做出影响经济的更好决策。此外,移动平均调整的应用不仅限于金融和经济。它还可以在气象学等领域找到,科学家分析温度随时间的变化。通过根据历史天气模式调整移动平均,气象学家可以更准确地预测未来的气候条件。总之,移动平均调整是处理时间序列数据的任何人的基本工具。无论是在金融、经济还是其他科学领域,这种调整都允许对趋势和模式进行更细致的分析。通过理解和应用移动平均调整,分析师和决策者可以增强解释数据的能力,最终导致更有效的策略和结果。随着我们继续在一个日益复杂的世界中航行,这种分析工具的重要性只会增加,强调了掌握像移动平均调整这样的概念在我们追求知识和洞察力过程中的价值。

相关单词

moving

moving详解:怎么读、什么意思、用法

adjustment

adjustment详解:怎么读、什么意思、用法