leading indicators

简明释义

先行指数

英英释义

例句

1.The stock market often reacts to changes in the economy, using leading indicators 领先指标 to predict future performance.

股市通常会对经济变化做出反应，使用领先指标 leading indicators来预测未来表现。

2.Analysts look at consumer spending as one of the key leading indicators 领先指标 for economic growth.

分析师将消费者支出视为经济增长的一个关键领先指标 leading indicators。

3.Changes in interest rates can serve as leading indicators 领先指标 for inflation trends.

利率变化可以作为通货膨胀趋势的领先指标 leading indicators。

4.Manufacturing activity is considered a strong leading indicator 领先指标 of economic health.

制造业活动被认为是经济健康的一个强有力的领先指标 leading indicators。

5.Jobless claims are often seen as leading indicators 领先指标 of the labor market's health.

失业救济申请通常被视为劳动力市场健康的领先指标 leading indicators。

作文

In the world of economics and finance, understanding various metrics is crucial for making informed decisions. One of the most significant concepts in this regard is the term leading indicators, which refers to economic factors that change before the economy starts to follow a particular pattern or trend. These indicators are invaluable for predicting future movements in the economy, helping businesses and policymakers make strategic decisions. For instance, if certain leading indicators suggest an upcoming economic expansion, businesses may choose to invest more in their operations, hire additional staff, or increase production. Conversely, if the leading indicators point towards a potential recession, companies might scale back on spending and prepare for a downturn. One common example of a leading indicator is the stock market performance. Historically, stock prices tend to rise before the economy improves, as investors anticipate better corporate earnings and increased consumer spending. Thus, a bullish stock market can serve as a signal that economic growth is on the horizon. Another example is the level of new housing permits; an increase in permits indicates that builders expect higher demand for homes, which often correlates with economic growth. Moreover, consumer sentiment is also considered a leading indicator. When consumers feel optimistic about their financial situation and the economy as a whole, they are more likely to spend money, which drives economic growth. Surveys measuring consumer confidence provide valuable insights into future spending habits and economic activity. It is essential to note that while leading indicators can provide valuable foresight, they are not infallible. Economic conditions can be influenced by numerous unpredictable factors, such as geopolitical events, natural disasters, or sudden changes in consumer behavior. Therefore, it is crucial for analysts and decision-makers to consider leading indicators in conjunction with other data points and economic models to form a comprehensive view of the economic landscape. In conclusion, leading indicators serve as critical tools for forecasting economic trends and guiding business strategies. By closely monitoring these indicators, organizations can position themselves favorably in anticipation of future economic shifts. However, it is important to remain cautious and aware of the limitations inherent in relying solely on these indicators. A holistic approach that incorporates a variety of economic data will yield the best results in navigating the complexities of the economy.

在经济和金融的世界中，理解各种指标对做出明智的决策至关重要。其中一个最重要的概念是术语领先指标，它指的是在经济开始遵循特定模式或趋势之前发生变化的经济因素。这些指标对于预测未来的经济走势非常宝贵，帮助企业和政策制定者做出战略决策。例如，如果某些领先指标表明即将到来的经济扩张，企业可能会选择增加投资、雇佣更多员工或提高生产。相反，如果领先指标指向潜在的衰退，公司可能会缩减开支并为经济下滑做好准备。一个常见的领先指标例子是股票市场表现。从历史上看，股票价格往往在经济改善之前上涨，因为投资者预期企业收益和消费者支出的增加。因此，牛市可以作为经济增长即将到来的信号。另一个例子是新住房许可证的数量；许可证的增加表明建筑商预计对住房的需求会增加，这通常与经济增长相关。此外，消费者信心也被认为是一个领先指标。当消费者对自己的财务状况和整个经济感到乐观时，他们更有可能花钱，从而推动经济增长。测量消费者信心的调查提供了关于未来消费习惯和经济活动的宝贵见解。需要注意的是，尽管领先指标可以提供有价值的前瞻性信息，但它们并不是万无一失的。经济条件可能受到许多不可预测因素的影响，例如地缘政治事件、自然灾害或消费者行为的突然变化。因此，分析师和决策者必须将领先指标与其他数据点和经济模型结合起来，以形成对经济形势的全面看法。总之，领先指标作为预测经济趋势和指导商业策略的关键工具。通过密切关注这些指标，组织可以在预期未来经济变化时采取有利的位置。然而，重要的是要保持谨慎，并意识到仅依赖这些指标固有的局限性。采用综合多种经济数据的方法，将在驾驭经济复杂性方面取得最佳效果。